Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.121792 0.134632 0.147809 0.162315 0.177806 0.193824 0.211612
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.106374 0.126376 0.147918 0.172712 0.200328 0.230012 0.264199
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.094729 0.119928 0.148225 0.182028 0.220983 0.264148 0.315270
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.081609 0.109750 0.142605 0.183199 0.231404 0.286233 0.352713
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.068991 0.098472 0.134216 0.179803 0.235448 0.300245 0.380453
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.063196 0.094794 0.134311 0.186006 0.250484 0.326935 0.423065
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.057558 0.090598 0.133159 0.190177 0.262716 0.350143 0.461624
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.052143 0.086070 0.131050 0.192688 0.272575 0.370321 0.496563
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.046870 0.081162 0.127949 0.193492 0.279964 0.387288 0.527566
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.046386 0.082988 0.133898 0.206265 0.302857 0.423851 0.583213
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.042753 0.079807 0.132640 0.209144 0.312754 0.444031 0.618575
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.039928 0.077565 0.132477 0.213345 0.324309 0.466346 0.656778
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.035956 0.073388 0.129562 0.213982 0.331637 0.484053 0.690397
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.034820 0.073713 0.133289 0.224138 0.352154 0.519394 0.747347
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.033736 0.074012 0.136946 0.234256 0.372813 0.555255 0.805502
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.030595 0.070462 0.134440 0.235200 0.380635 0.574104 0.841645
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.026646 0.065046 0.128641 0.230951 0.380937 0.582778 0.864456
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.025471 0.064559 0.130602 0.238273 0.397644 0.613640 0.916748
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.023924 0.063202 0.131032 0.243209 0.410958 0.640018 0.963343
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.022148 0.061206 0.130253 0.246185 0.421415 0.662561 1.005009
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.020183 0.058603 0.128266 0.247134 0.428846 0.680958 1.041237
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.020684 0.061154 0.135211 0.262310 0.457387 0.728824 1.117581
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.019289 0.059538 0.134800 0.265723 0.468551 0.752657 1.161639